WTF SCOTLAND!?
8 May 2015 09:02 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
fridgepunk
Scotland has managed to return their one and only Tory MP, and left only one libdem and one Labour MP.
In Scotland's defense, that seems to have only happened because the scottish labour voters acted as a spoiler for the SNP vote allowing the Tory MP to sneak back in.
As of right fucking now there's 17 seats left to declare and the tories are 8 seats from a barest of slim majorities.
This means a few things:
One, the country is a little bit fucked, as in we may exit the EU which would have the glorious effect of crashing our economy as the rest of europe shuts us out of 90% of our foreign trade.
Two, the anti-blairite wing (i.e. the lefter wing) of the labour party has effectively lost this election, and thus there's going to be a return of the Torier-than-thou Mandelson types to power in the Labour party (AKA the bit of the party that tried to hound Mo Mowlem out of the party by spreading rumors that her brain cancer was affecting her judgement), which means the main opposition is effectively Charybdis to the Tories' Scylla at this point.
Even worse than that is that it'll be fairly easy for Labour to win the next election - the electoral tea leaves can more easily tell where UKIP or the SNP are going to have major effects on the vote, and you're not going to have as strong a Libdem presence next time now they're a distant 4th party in UK politics, they were coasting on inertia as it wasn't entirely clear that it was going to be a choice between Labour or the Tories in a lot of the old Lib Dem seats, so they were spoiling Labour's vote more than they are likely to next time. Which given how close a lot of the Tory wins this time were and how slim their majority can be, means that Labour should be fairly easily able to get a majority next time, even if their leader is an actual toad, or Nigel Farage (but I repeat myself).
Find a comfortable crash helmet, because you're gonna need to wear it for the next decade, at least.
In Scotland's defense, that seems to have only happened because the scottish labour voters acted as a spoiler for the SNP vote allowing the Tory MP to sneak back in.
As of right fucking now there's 17 seats left to declare and the tories are 8 seats from a barest of slim majorities.
This means a few things:
One, the country is a little bit fucked, as in we may exit the EU which would have the glorious effect of crashing our economy as the rest of europe shuts us out of 90% of our foreign trade.
Two, the anti-blairite wing (i.e. the lefter wing) of the labour party has effectively lost this election, and thus there's going to be a return of the Torier-than-thou Mandelson types to power in the Labour party (AKA the bit of the party that tried to hound Mo Mowlem out of the party by spreading rumors that her brain cancer was affecting her judgement), which means the main opposition is effectively Charybdis to the Tories' Scylla at this point.
Even worse than that is that it'll be fairly easy for Labour to win the next election - the electoral tea leaves can more easily tell where UKIP or the SNP are going to have major effects on the vote, and you're not going to have as strong a Libdem presence next time now they're a distant 4th party in UK politics, they were coasting on inertia as it wasn't entirely clear that it was going to be a choice between Labour or the Tories in a lot of the old Lib Dem seats, so they were spoiling Labour's vote more than they are likely to next time. Which given how close a lot of the Tory wins this time were and how slim their majority can be, means that Labour should be fairly easily able to get a majority next time, even if their leader is an actual toad, or Nigel Farage (but I repeat myself).
Find a comfortable crash helmet, because you're gonna need to wear it for the next decade, at least.
no subject
Date: 2015-05-08 01:31 pm (UTC)About 1 in 4 Brits voted Tory (and, yes, that's 1 in 4 of the electorate not merely a proportion of those who actually voted). Bearing in mind that the Tories don't exist in Northern Ireland and might as well not exist in Scotland, that means the English and the Welsh were voting Tory at a much higher rate than 1 in 4.
no subject
Date: 2015-05-11 04:49 pm (UTC)Of course a party whose one remaining scottish MP isn't automatically the leader of the scottish wing of the party has its own special structural issues to deal with - I am getting way to many LOLs out of UNITE having to do the equivalent of poking Scottish Labour's "leader" with a stick so Scottish Labour can get him out of the leadership position he's hiding in and do the thing with the drinking glass and a playing card before chucking him out the window.